Climate Scenarios

Choose a scenario to simulate how parametric insurance protects vulnerable communities

Start with foundational scenarios to learn single-trigger concepts, then progress to intermediate multi-variable triggers, and finally explore advanced scenarios with conflicting indicators.

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Drought ProtectionWeather

East African Smallholder Farmers
● Foundational

Protects farmers who lack access to traditional insurance. When rainfall drops below survival thresholds, payments reach mobile wallets within 48 hours.

500,000+ farmers
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Flood InsuranceWeather

Southeast Asian Coastal Communities
● Foundational2 Variables

Provides rapid relief to vulnerable communities when rivers exceed danger levels. No paperwork required — payments are automatic.

2 million+ residents
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Hurricane CoverageWeather

Caribbean Small Island States
●● Intermediate3 Variables

Enables rapid post-disaster recovery for island nations. Government treasuries receive funds before international aid mobilizes.

15+ island nations
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Heatwave ProtectionHealth

South Asian Urban Populations
●● Intermediate3 Variables

Protects urban populations from extreme heat events. Funds activate cooling centers and healthcare surge capacity automatically.

50+ million urban residents
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Wildfire & Smoke CoverageHealth

Western North American Communities
●● Intermediate3 Variables

Covers communities affected by wildfire smoke and air quality. Smoke impacts can exceed direct fire damage by 10-20x.

100+ million in fire-prone regions
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Glacier Water SecurityLong-term

Himalayan Mountain Communities
●●● Advanced4 VariablesConflicting

Addresses the paradox of glacier loss: high meltwater flow today masks long-term water insecurity. Conflicting indicators make this the most complex scenario.

1.5 billion depend on glacial water
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Livestock Insurance (IBLI)Weather

Marsabit County, Northern Kenya
● Foundational2 Variables

Index-Based Livestock Insurance uses satellite vegetation data to protect pastoralist herders before livestock die. This anticipatory model is fundamentally different from other parametric designs.

300,000+ pastoralist households
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Pacific SIDS Ocean CoverageLong-term

Pacific Small Island Developing States
●●● Advanced4 VariablesConflicting

Protects AOSIS member nations facing compound ocean risks: sea level inundation, saltwater intrusion, coral bleaching, and wave intensification — the defining climate threats of the Pacific.

11 million+ Pacific Islanders
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Sahel Multi-Year Drought CoverageLong-term

Lake Chad Basin & West African Sahel
●●● Advanced4 VariablesConflicting

Protects Sahelian governments against multi-year rainfall deficits that fuel food insecurity, pastoral-agricultural conflict, and displacement across the Lake Chad Basin and West African Sahel corridor.

50 million+ people in the Lake Chad Basin and Sahel corridor
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